• Trading

    Posted on March 28th, 2007

    Written by Prospectus

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    This post was contributed by a guest author, and does not necessarily reflect the views of Richard or MovetheMarkets.com

    mgsmall.jpg I closed out both of my swing positions this morning. My task now is to finalize my swing system and set up the plan. Here’s how the trades turned out:

    The Bad News: Nuvelo, Inc. (NASDAQ: NUVO)

    nuvo-candle-last-3-days_15m-2007-03-28-130919.GIF

    I looked at the weekly chart to get a target. I wanted $5.00, but I thought I could get to a retest of the high after the huge gap down in December:

    nuvo-candle-one-year_1w-2007-03-28-131044.GIF

    The trade idea was sound, but I was too large in the position. NUVO gapped up big on Tuesday, and then sold off through the rest of the day. I set an alert for $4.00, and later in the afternoon it rallied back up to that point. It waffled a bit, and then jumped over the line at $4.05. I bit too soon–I should have held out for $4.10 or so to make sure it would move, but the round number got me again and I bought like a sucker. The bad entry is bad, the position size makes it really bad.

    After entry, I was watching the BAV trend I talked about yesterday, and I saw a divergence between price and the trend:

    nuvo-vccandle-last-3-days_300000-2007-03-28-130853.GIF

    I read this as people bidding up for the stock even in the face of the decline in price, and I thought it would lend support the next day (today). But I was wrong, as it was offered away this morning. Any insight into what I saw and what it means out there?

    Trade Summary:

    NUVO Long 120 Shares
    Entry: $4.05, Stop: $3.70, Target: $5.00
    R: $42.00, Exit: $3.70
    P/L: -1.00R, or ($42.00)

    Trade Grade:

    pl5.jpg

    The Good News: Solar Enertech Corp. (SOEN.OB)

    As I said before, I entered SOEN as a swing trade. Here’s the completed chart:

    soen-candle-5d_30m-2007-03-28-122832.GIF

    My idea was to buy after a break of an NR7 day’s high, and then ride for another 7 days maximum, or until my target of overhead resistance was met. I was in the black after the first day, so it was proven correct in my mind. This morning my NUVO loss was weighing on me, and I decided to aggressively protect my profits, rather than let it have more fluctuation room. I was watching the BAV trend on this chart:

    soen-vccandle-last-day_10000-2007-03-28-123443.GIF

    There were still a lot of shares going at the ask in the face of the decline, so I stayed with it, but after it recovered and ticked up to $1.75, I took the profit–I wanted to respect the round number, and I wanted to book the profits to counter my losses. I could have had more had I stayed (and the BAV trend took off after $1.75 signifying buying pressure), but at least I covered the mistakes of this week with this trade. In the trades I took after FMT, I am now positive in the amount of $5.20 :)

    Before I took NUVO, I was deciding between adding to SOEN or taking the new trade. I thought diversification was better–Whoops. But this did lead me to some thoughts about adding to positions and Phantom of the Pits’ Rule #2, which I will post about separately.

    As an aside, I have usually traded in tiny sizes in big stocks, so I have never seen my order go across the tape. This is the first time it happened for me, and I thought it was kind of cool:

    soen_tns_3-26-2007.jpg

    Trade Summary:

    SOEN Long 333 Shares
    Entry: $1.53, Stop: $1.41, Target: $2.00
    R: $39.96, Exit: $1.75
    P/L: 1.83R, or $73.26

    Trade Grade:

    pl2.jpg

    Thanks for reading!

    This entry was posted on Wednesday, March 28th, 2007 at 12:03 pm and is filed under Trading. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
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