Slowing Down: One Trade Today


This post was contributed by a guest author, and does not necessarily reflect the views of Richard or MovetheMarkets.com


After grinding large numbers of R’s away by scalping, I decided to take a fresh look at things. I committed myself back to the 15′ timeframe, with the philosophy that if I can’t make money there, where things are slower and more steady, then I can’t make it scalping which is immensely harder. I’m strongest in the dummy method, incorporating some of Trader-X and Jamie’s methods as well, so that’s the system I’m trading. I got off of that when the markets were not disposed kindly to these setups back in September. Rather than changing my style back then, I should have just stopped trading until conditions were right for my style.

I also changed my mindset about my financial position. Rather than thinking that I’m way “in the hole” and need a big home run to get me back, I decided to start fresh, using my current balance as my new equity position. Now I can concentrate on trading well and avoiding risk, and let the trades come to me. 90% of trading is half mental.

It worked today! Skyb0x on Wallstreak suggested that I watch the Solars today, as they were gapping up. It was a perfect call. I watched several names, looking for a dummy setup either on a pullback or near an OR extreme. I decided to go long LDK after a retrace to the 5-ema on declining volume, when we were printing a green candle, were above the 38% fib retrace and were back above the OR low again :

It was a risky entry in the sense that I front-ran the candle being completed, but I thought the risk was worth the reward, as the 138% fib extension was near $62, and the volume was projected to finish the candle on an uptick. Here’s the outcome of the trade:

We slowly ground up for a while, and when I was up 1R, I raised the stop to breakeven. Once we hit the OR high, I was tempted to sell, but I held on because the retraces were orderly and we didn’t close a candle below the 5-ema. The inverted hammer at 14:00 made me think the end was near, but we kept going. I was watching this daily chart for potential pivot points as Jamie has often preached:

Once we cleared the OR high, I saw that $57.57 was a strong pivot. I sold half at limit at $57.50, and ended up almost top-ticking the sell. Nice! LDK then rallied more, and I decided that $60 was probably going to be a round number resistance and that $62 was not likely today. Once we got there, the action was so strong that I decided to hang on. Whoops! You can see that we had three wide range bars up to the $60 level, and it would have been smart to sell there. Still, I raised my stop to the base of that last WRB, and ended up getting stopped out just under $58 for a total of +2.77R on the trade.

Since I’ve decided that I should take fewer trades and really focus on them more, I wrote the above post and I’m reinstating my trade grade:

Trade Summary:

LDK Long
Entry: $52.50, Stop: $51.31, Target: $62.28
Partial: $57.50, Exit: $57.85, P/L: 2.77R

Trade Grade:

pl2.jpg


This post was contributed by a guest author, and does not necessarily reflect the views of Richard or MovetheMarkets.com


4 Responses

  1. Dinosaur Trader Says:

    Great trade, Pro!

    Also kudos for focusing on where your account is NOW rather than focusing on where it was AT. What’s lost is lost. You need to think about where you’re going, not where you’ve been.

    Way to go.

    -DT

  2. Mr. White Folks Says:

    nicely done prospectus

  3. Eric Says:

    *golf clap* One thing that Bill harps on (in a good way) is changing what you look at will only lead to losses. Nice example of slow and steady reasoning.

    Good Hunting!
    E.

  4. ainkurn Says:

    nice trade. I should have gotten on board the LDK train, but I was tied up in FSLR a couple times. Made some money but left lots on the table. Still FSLR is my favorite solar to trade….maybe my favorite stock. see ya on Wallstreak

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