Best of MtM

A lot of blog posts are, by nature of blogging, a timely running commentary. Other times, I post something that is intended to be just as interesting months from now as it is the day it’s written. To keep these posts from getting lost in the stream, I’ve tried to collect the links here. I hope you enjoy them.

Evolution of a Trader

  • The Kickoff Article, in which I describe what I view as the three stages of evolution for a trader.
  • A SIRIously Flawed Plan. Here, I describe the first trading scheme I came up with on my own, and how much was wrong with it.
  • How to Recover from a Loss. Describes bad ideas I’ve had in the past in the name of recovering from a loss, and my subsequent revelation about what “recovery” really is.
  • Staying Calm. Describes several of my failed attempts to counteract my in-trade stress, and my eventual victory at attacking the root-causes of the problem head-on.
  • The Misconceptions Series is kind of an inverted take on the Evolution Series, in that I don’t have personal stories about these topics. But, I see examples of these misconceptions everywhere, and would like to help others see them for what they are:
    • Magic Moving Averages, about how people assume a MA will be “support” with no evidence backing them up.
    • I Can Ride Big Market Moves, about how people think they haven’t already missed a big move in the markets once they can clearly see it.
    • I Can Quickly Tell What Works, about how people jump to conclusions about what is “working” or not.
    • Quickies, where I list a few common misconceptions that don’t deserve a full article of their own.
    • Bullish Block Trades, where I point out that conventional wisdom about block trades propping up a stock is actually nonsense in the intraday time frame.

A Day in the Life

On Indicators

Trading Performance

On Risk and Expectancy

  • We are All At Risk!. I explain the assumptions built into the expectancy idea which are out of sync with reality. Expectancy is a good tool, but you need to understand its limitations.
  • Diversification Works?. Does diversification reduce risk for a day trader? This article points out reasons it may not.
  • Expectancy and the Lottery. Here, I point out that even lottery tickets often have a positive expectancy. There are considerations beyond pure expectancy when judging a trading system.
  • Relative Danger of Trading Account Sizes. This article describes how losses affect trading accounts of various sizes, and how you can adjust the risk profile of one account to match a different sized account.
  • What Risk:Reward is Right for You?. This article derives the rule of thumb 1:3 Risk:Reward ratio that’s often bandied about as advice, and shows how you can determine what risk:reward is tailored for your trading style.
  • Reduce and Remove, where Zoomie describes how trades must be proven right to stay in play.

TRIZ and Trading

Misc