Apr 6

I’ve been working to tie together all of eotpro moderator Bill’s entry criteria into a single indicator. And, I think I’ve done it, now. If further testing goes well, I think this will be the main indicator used in their live room soon. Pretty neat.

More interestingly, since I had it all in one indicator now, it was very easy to make a simple strategy out of it. I just threw it on a 1597 share bar chart, with the default settings. I gave it a fixed 2pt profit target and let the stops trail behind the plot cycles. So, this was about as brain-dead a money-management scheme as you could think of. Well, even so…

Running it like this on the last 3 days with 1 contract, it made 13 trades for 10 wins and 3 losses… pulling in $650. I have never had a strategy do so well when I first threw it up on a random chart (and with un-optimized settings). That’s really promising. Cool stuff…

I know 3 days isn’t a sufficient backtest to go automated, but that’s not the point! I don’t plan to go automated with it, and I would never go automated with a fixed profit target, anyway. It just goes to show how good an entry signal the Patty B is, in conjunction with the other Eotpro filter indicators (like Shelly’s Volume 4 and the market sync, among others).

Feb 6

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to an lj post with mortgage delinquency porn. gank from somewhere else.

Todays Paper trades that were not goofs were +$300 in ES using EOTPro Harry’s method.
Goofs were +$8000. (trading a few ticks of 100 contracts will do that)

Power Hour with TD

Note to self, apply thumbscrews to account when live trading.

E.


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Jan 28

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What’s your Unicorn? :)

Ok in the news.
Today I suffered with my cache of prior data loss due to a uninstall/reinstall of multicharts (which also blew my eotpro). Recient consolidations in the futures + bugs still in the new Multicharts beta seem to be the root.

Lately I’ve been beating my head against a programing wall, having incremental successes understanding Mulicharts and Easy Language.

Having been inspired by the Rainbows I gave writing one a shot, turned out neat and is already there as a Moving Average Ribbon Indicator (that I found later… sheash) I boiled them down to 3 weighted moving average lines.

Big Deal, Everyone is doing it right?

I watched them wash above and below the price and gave writing a Signal in Multicharts a go.

Now remember I was enticed by the Channel Breakouts involving a lengh of bars back Highest high or Lowest Low.

Many rapid prototypings later (and using sword names as naming conventions) I present “Claymore”.

Lets Visualize this.. In easy language…

Claymore Visualization

inputs: Price(close),length(25), ma1(16), ma2(42), ma3(79);

variables:
AvgPrice (0),
RedValue (0),
GreenValue (0),
BlueValue (0),
TheSpread( 0 );

RedValue = waverage(price,ma1);
GreenValue = waverage(price,ma2);
BlueValue = waverage(price,ma3);

Value2 = GradientColor( slowk(length), 0, 100, rgb(255,0,0), rgb(0,250,250));
setplotcolor(99, value2);
TheSpread=TypicalPrice-BlueValue;
plot99(TheSpread,”Typ Avg”);
setplotwidth(99,2);

TheSpread=redvalue-bluevalue;
setplotcolor(1,rgb(255,32,32));
plot1(TheSpread,”RedLine”);

TheSpread=greenvalue-bluevalue;
setplotcolor(2,rgb(32,255,32));
plot2(thespread,”GreenLine”);
setplotwidth(2,2);

setplotcolor(3,rgb(32,32,255));
plot3(0,”BlueLine”);
setplotwidth(3,4);

So the ma3 line BECOMES the zero line. Neat huh?
You can really see when the Typical Price crosses with the RGB lines.

So.. A Signal. A Naked one at that. The null input activates a nacient stop loss that I need to figure out to make more robust.

the ma1-3 lines here were optimized for 10000 pt Original (due to the history data loss I had to use 10k Pt instead)

When you run this Signal, you will need to goto Format Objects, Properties Button, set max number of bars to reference to equal or greater than your ma3 number (for when you run some optimizations)

By the way, be sure to set a rough guess what your commissions per trade or share might be in the Properties Button AND Fixed Shares/Contracts to 2 (for future take ticks of profit on initial moves)

Signal Claymore

[IntrabarOrderGeneration = false]
inputs: null(0), ma1(16), ma2(42), ma3(79), price(close), priceh(High), pricel(low), StopLoss(291), BreakEven(80);

vars:
MP(0),
TP(0),
RedLine(0),
GreenLine(0),
BlueLine(0);

TP = typicalprice;

Redline = waverage(price,ma1);
greenline = waverage(price,ma2);
blueline = waverage(price,ma3);

if tp crosses below blueline
and greenline > blueline
then begin
SELLShort(”CM SE”) this bar;
end;

if tp crosses above blueline
and greenline < BlueLine
then begin
buy("CM LE") this bar ;
end;

if null <> 0 then begin
SetStopLoss(StopLoss);
SetBreakEven(BreakEven);
end;

I PAPER traded $450 off of 1 contract. The total run was like what.. 17.5 ES points? Yikes.

This method is just getting started. Doesn’t scalp worth a damn. It breaks the rules with not having real Money Management (ie stop loss and trailing stops) in it.

You get to watch the curves and move your stops accordingly.
You could add language to “sell” or “buy to cover” open positions based on MarketPosition and when the Typical Price crosses back over a red or green line. All sorts of fun here.

These types of Signals are prone to a high trade count. Future investigation into BarsSinceEntry are in order as well.

A Pretty Picture..
Claymore


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Jan 23

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So let the smacking of head with hand begin as I discover in Multicharts that the Channel Breakout LE and SE also have an indicator written for them as well.

The Signal triggers a long or a short based on when the the current bar is pierces the last high or low of a period of time.

So if you add the signal, I think the length default is 20, you can add the indicator Price Channel and set the length to the same and give it a view. Neat!

Paper Trading today consisted of going up to ~+$1000 and back down to ~+$400 on one contract per trade.
ie meaningless.

RWD
Like before I need conditions of when to take profits and stop out. Likely it will be when in a trade and a plot cycle forms, go flat and wait for the next signal. There are sessions where the drawdown will get extreme.
I need to write the means to plot trendlines between the long and the short or wrap them in a signal so I can get some historical perspective on all this.

I am considering having a Day Trading Stop as well.
As P/L goes +, if it retraces and is High -$N, then stop for the day.
If P/L goes -$N, Stop for the Day. I am ok with this.

Hopefully I have the picture setup here correctly, dont want to raise the ire of the Richard, the Keeper of Ways. :)

Multi Charts 10000pt with Channel Breakout Indicators and Signal

E.


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Jan 13

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Hola folks!

I purchased eotpro’s indicators + room Friday and I should have my “package” in my email. Today (Sunday) will be Setup Day. (Friday night and Saturday was all about ski patrol at Alpental and snowboarding, nobody died but for Safty Sake get a clue and talk to those who know (Rangers, Ski Patrollers etc) before you go into the back country.)

Friday’s Results
Another day where I am up $200 and then negative. Now Add Glen’s (oufan/eotpro) Perspective..

On a scale from 1 to 10, a trader bringing in $300 a week ON ONE CONTRACT (YES THATS A WEEK) (after expenses!) is like a level 6. Isnt that crazy? That if an automated trading platform was making $300 per contract a week, that it was doing good.

Think of it.. Making $15,000 a Year, per contract is doing good and Level 6.

Now think of this.. That $30,000 a Year ($500-$600/week) (if memory serves, Richard a little help?) is like level 9 aka Amazing.

Glen’s insights were really helpful in reviewing my paper trades. It helped add a mirror to my greed. Small consistant wins starting out is OK. I do lucky and with no plan trend up over $200 and then it all goes back and then some.

The first lucky paper trading session a few weeks ago I was up over $15,000 and I let myself emotionally get swung off of an automated trading thing and give it all away. Love your Losses, period.

So no indicators, no plan and a little insight.. Take the money or my losses and stop, leave the computer, and go eat fast food [smirk :) ] or take a walk or go *gasp* snowboarding.

So a part of my plan will likely be (after consult with Bill/Shelly) shift my account +- ES$200 per day till I reach a degree of compentency of trading my plan, and in order entry and exit, review and continue.

Glen also mentioned that you should have enough in your account to handle an overnight margin call even though we’re day traders. Interesting.

On a what the hell, I hit the 1000 shares button, and traded for Break Even + a ES Tick. *Poof* over ES Paper $12,000.
Yeghods how much would you have to have in your account to buy or short 1000 shares of ES. $100,000 or $200,000 for margin? wow.

Friday RWD
Right: I got up and got my day started with a good mind set. Used my flatscreen and had the best I could do for indicators. Got my Trading in the Zone book and reading it.
Wrong: No Plan and “What the Hell” trade (one should watch Richards video that talks about the Risk of Ruin)
Different: Get eotpro indicators up, mirror Bill’s and the “Hour of Power”, paper trade their plans, research, choose, and impliment my day trading strategy.

E.


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Jan 10

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I was negative on money today, and thats
1. good
2. deserved

Good that I traded badly and reaped the correct results.
Deserved because of no plan.

I was up as much a little over 200. Finished off -150.

I dont have indicators from eotpro.com yet, should be buying in here shortly when Im not at a coffee shop.

With not much of a trading plan except for following the room and with charts of a 1 tick, 233 tick, 4987 Volume, 997 volume, and 9973 point it was interseting to see trends the chop and Bernekie’s Suprize (the leaked text) and the live reaction on the charts.

I had no other indicators (MACD etc) up.
The 1 Tick to see if my MC is alive, that will go as I settle in.

The Point chart to me was of the most interst, seemed to take the chop out of the equasion.

The 4987 volume bar chart showed the trend of the while.

These all will have more meaning when I have the eot indicators up.

and my plan.

I think I will start out with a Boxplay strat.

Over the day I enjoyed the Hour of Power but I think someone pissed em off. Someone was asking him “hey do you ever show a loosing trade?” *shakes head* Why put that negative energy out there? eh?

Trades are hard enough, and when someone is offering you the opportunity to view a live trade, respect the persons time because their money is on the line. Hope he comes back.

A funny story about trying to loose at Vegas
http://gridskipper.com/343289/dying-to-lose-in-vegas-the-3-blackjack-death-march

In other news..
The AGN Platform is much better than my previous trading platform (cant remember the name). You couldnt swing a dead cat and make it worse than (cant remember the name).

My numbers for my charts are Prime Numbers btw.

I have Trading in the Zone on order. Update: Its on its way!

E.


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Dec 20

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or not.

Im curretly using Strategy Runner for my data/broker for my paper trading experience.

They are all about “strategies” for the upsell. Think of Richards Boxplay, on crack and willing to draw down to 20-40% for untold profits in the future over time. Yikes.

One was activated. It drew down hundreds of $$$. Ow. So today my “character” didn’t quite loose a ‘level’ but yikes.

Granted this is a field that I look forward to programing in and fleshing out my ‘cohorts’. Just not quite right now. heh.

I am on vacation visiting a friend over here in Paulsbo, and it may be a struggle *cough* to be present tomorrow over at eotpro.com.

Good Trades to All,
and to all a good night!

E.


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Dec 19

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Hola from Tacoma Washington all!

My name is Eric and I will be your noob blogpostee here on your minutes of distraction on this site this afternoon, evening, morning, whatever.

Just thought I would start off with some information that is useful with this link JSmineset
Go there, get your Gold on.

And now to me.
Read the rest of this entry »


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Nov 30

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I had a rough day yesterday, to the tune of minus R 9. My feeling was of trying to catch up. I wasn’t looking for momentum moves, 2 B tops, or 2nd time through trades….I was trying to dig myself out of a hole I made from trading the open. I was trading chop, trying to guess tops of swings. The very thing I swore I wouldn’t do. I looked for a good trade to post, I found one, out of 30 or so. Then I felt sorry for myself and ate chocolate instead of posting it. I knew a day like that would come. And I welcomed it…. after I pondered my lessons. I need to concentrade and trade the charts. Plus R 2.8 today. I was down for most of the day, but I was calm, and looking for quality setups. So, day 8, and I am still up R 10.7 trading the indices. Charts on the weekend….of what I saw today. Discipline = moola.


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Nov 21

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I went over my scalp winners for today and yesterday, and these are the drawdown amounts after my entry for each trade in SPY cents before I exited for a profit:

7 cents
2 cents
4 cents
5 cents
2 cents
3 cents
1 cent
1 cent
2 cents

I am very happy with these results. These are with market orders, so I am pleased I am hitting the momentum at the right time for the most part. My stop is mentally set at 10 cents, with a 30 cent hard stop in case the shit hits the fan. I am wondering if I should tighten my mental stop to 5 or 6 cents. The smallest winner (2 cents) had the biggest drawdown (7 cents)…..go figure.


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Nov 20

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As I’ve been looking back at my trading history, I’m realizing how much I have lost over the three years I’ve been trading.

I started with $1000 in a Scottrade account, and I turned that into $300 through n00b trades, holding on to losers and buying cheap options. I literally knew nothing back then. I refunded and lost a couple hundred more. Then I funded up to $2000 in my Zecco account. Free trades, but PDT rules. I lost a few hundred of that, too. I took a $10k TD account that was only supposed to be safe money (like CD safe) and took it to $9000, refunded to $10k and back to $9000, where it sits now. And you know the story about how I took my $2000 Zecco money to the prop firm, turned it into $2600 and then down to $1200 where I am today, through overtrading, bad discipline and just a really unfortunate situation with BIDU and my order servers shutting down.

Adding it up in my head, after three years of active trading, I’ve lost around $3000. My trading accounts have been around $2000 most of the time that I’ve traded, so I’ve completely blown up 1.5 times so far. People (not on the internets) who know that I “trade” have no idea what my actual performance is, including my wife, sadly. If she did, I’d never trade again! Whether that would be good or bad I’ll leave for you to decide.

Why do I write this?

Part confession–I am Prospectus, and I am a net loser at trading. Honesty on the internet, a cloak in reality. Welcome to my sad world.

Part warning–Trading is NOT easy, and the trading education, especially the self-taught one, does not come fast, easy, or cheap.

Finally, to place these facts in front of me, where I have to face them. It’s so easy to zero the PnL meter and start again. Then being a couple hundred in the hole isn’t so bad. But that meter’s been running the whole time, and financially, as a trader, it would have been better if I had never been born, to use a figure of speech.

What have I gained for my $3000 and three years of effort?

Knowledge of myself–my flaws and weaknesses, but also some strengths.

Some knowledge of the markets, though admittedly I seem to know more about what doesn’t work than what does.

Ability to execute orders along with endless market jargon.

Friends in many traders throughout the world who have offered help and encouragement.

Have I learned how to be a profitable trader? No dice there. In the end, that’s the whole objective of trading, and so far, success has eluded me, or I’ve avoided success, depending on how you look at it.

So there’s a full inventory of where I stand. I’m not going to quit, so the only direction for me is forward.


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Oct 25

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I blew up 30% of my account today. I made some trades earlier in the day, a few -1R losers, you know, my usual.

I tried to scalp some BIDU after the close, making the spread. It was working pretty well–I had one good win and one scratch. I was long 30 shares when the earnings news came out, and BIDU collapsed. I tried to sell, but my platform’s servers apparently stop at 5:00 ET, and my order was stuck, unfilled, but I couldn’t cancel it either to try to sell.

I finally reached someone by phone, and they sold my shares around 319. That’s a $450 loss on my $1700 account.

It was dumb of me to be holding into the earnings report. It was not my fault that the order server screwed me. Still, I am responsible for my trading results, and I don’t blame anyone but me.

I look at this hole, and I think that it will take me years just to trade back to where I was when I started, and that assumes that I’m profitable from here, which doesn’t seem too likely from my past experiences.

On the other hand, I could re-fund to my original level fairly painlessly by adding more cash to my account. I even got a cash award at work recently for $300, which almost offsets this loss. But if I can turn a $2000 account into $1300, I could also turn a $200,000 account into $130,000, and that would ruin me. I’m playing small deliberately so that mistakes don’t ruin my life. But a loss of this % is still devastating.

I feel, again, like quite a failure. I have no discipline, because I keep trading when I should be following my dumb 7 step plan. I hate my job, and so I force trades to have something to enjoy during the day, something to put my heart into. But this isn’t what I want. :(

Maybe now this pain of losing will be greater than the pain of change, and I’ll finally get my head together, start from the beginning and get discipline, a system to follow, and have a chance at success.

Thanks for reading.


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Sep 28

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-3.6R today. 7 trades, 7 losses. It was a low volume choppy day, and I pushed for trades instead of trading good setups that I saw (because I didn’t see any). I’m not practicing what I’m supposed to be practicing anymore, I’m just starting to get back into trading as usual. I need to get back to focusing on my plan, and working the foundation first. The funny thing is that I’m not in despair over these results. I’m handling it quite well, actually. I think that is a victory for my new mindset–being okay to lose, deep down. Not racing anyone else or even myself. More introspection to come shortly on my Seven Step Plan page.


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Sep 18

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Are those nasty NASDAQ Pattern Daytrader rules preventing you from making millions just because you don’t have 25 grand? Seems unfair, doesn’t it. Fear no more, start Zoomie’s “Daytrader on a Budget” and you too will be rich!! Then when you have 25 grand plus in your account, you will discover unlimited trading can be a double edged sword!!

Here are the screenshots of a friend’s account I trade. Interactive Brokers allows you to trade up to 15 accounts for friends and family. It is called….the “Friends and Family Account.” I daytrade 3 times in 5 trading days for him along with my account. For some reason my own mother won’t join though ;).

From July 26, (when I started trading for him), to 17 September, the account returned 22%. I risk 1.5% of his equity per trade. Doing the math, that would be R 14. I will keep you updated on a monthly basis.

July Statement:
july-statement.PNG

August Statement:
august2.PNG

17 Sept Statement:
sept-17-statement.PNG


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Sep 13
VC

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This will be my last post for awhile. I’m going into simulation mode to see if the system I currently use produces a positive expectancy under ideal circumstances. If not then I will look elsewhere. I made 5 trades today, and only one fit my criteria, and I exited it too early.

91307.JPG


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