Nov 8

This post was contributed by a guest author, and does not necessarily reflect the views of Richard or MovetheMarkets.com


Over the last few days, I’ve taken a few trades from Renko charts, trying to follow some intraday trends on high-volume volatile stocks. I like that Renko charts define the trend for me, once I pick a box size. A retrace is also clearly defined, as a two brick reversal will reverse the trend. the problem is whipsaws, but so far I’ve been lucky and haven’t hit any to speak of. The idea is to go long on the first green bar, close the long and go short at the first red bar. The red / green lines on my chart are just visualizations of the trailing stop for me. Just playing small, pseudo-paper-trading this system–without $ on the line, even a tiny amount, I just can’t get interested in paper trading, so that’s why I’ve been trading. I’ve made about 4R so far with these, and even trades that reverse tend to let me get out at breakeven for the most part. Here’s the charts–sorry that they’re not more annotated-I’m in a hurry right now:

crox-candle-2h_1m-2007-11-01-152319.GIF

crox-renko-last-day_05-2007-11-01-152434.GIF

rimm-renko-100b_05-2007-11-08-163930.GIF

fslr-renko-30b_1-2007-11-08-164334.GIF

As part of working on my discipline and psychology, I’ve been focusing on reasonable trading goals and personal expectations over these past few weeks. Working on my self-image and success criteria. I have discipline, because I can force myself to look at the screen all day forcing trades, even when it’s painful. I’m driven by my goals for myself, and in the past, I have been racing. I’ve been too greedy. I want a fortune, and I want it now! Bad idea. Leads me to trade in the noise with positions that are too large, and force a trade that’s not really there, and overtrade.

After much soul searching and reading, I’ve come to a more reasonable expectation and goal. For me, right now, I have the goal to make +1R each day that I choose to trade. I think that is an achievable goal. Then if I make +2R on the first trade, I have one more opportunity to trade, knowing that even a 1R loss will keep me at my goal. Nice peace of mind! Only 1R doesn’t seem like much, but only +1R per day, if that’s 1% of my equity, over roughly a year (250 trading days) I will return over 200% on my account. Word.

Well, I took one discretionary trade (not Renko) in AKAM. Ragin Cajun called it on Wallstreak. Go to madstocks.com and read his blog–he’s been minting coin at a criminal rate lately. He saw the daily, and so did I. The 38 level was key–if it broke we’d go to 36:

akam-candle-6m_1d-2007-11-08-131449.GIF

Well, it did but I didn’t quite make it:

akam-candle-last-3-days_15m-2007-11-08-131447.GIF

Traded on the 15′ with a wide stop felt good. My size was small, and even though I didn’t get the whole move I pulled out +2R without too much trauma. Exceeded my goal! Showed discipline, it’s all goodness. I accept where I am, and it feels good.

I need to work a bit longer on this mindset and discipline to make it stick, and then I’ll move on to Step 3 in my plan–laying out my trading roadmap.


This post was contributed by a guest author, and does not necessarily reflect the views of Richard or MovetheMarkets.com


Aug 20

I found today to be just as frustrating as Friday, but I did better, profit-wise.

Sorry, I said some numbers wrong… I was watching people drilling holes in my walls in my apartment, and was distracted!

It was 9 trades. (I know I said 10 in the video…. ) 5 wins, 2 b/e, and 2 losses.

[EDIT: dude, how come none of my trades looked like this beautiful short on MRO? I gots ta draw more fibs. I am trying to remember to draw fibs most days, to look for these, but lately I haven't had very many suitable gappers on my watchlist... today I think I only had a couple.]

Watch this post's video on Youtube

Jul 31

I was five for five today, with all wins. Feels good after yesterday, when I was only four for seven. In the video below, I go over all five trades, and one loss I had yesterday (since I was too sleepy to make a video yesterday). The trades today were on BEAV, RCII, COST, RBC, and CROX.

It’s still really tough out there for my style of trading. I’m in guerrilla mode, taking profits very quickly. Yesterday, I was trying to adjust to the chop by giving my trades a little more room to move… the result was that my losses tended to be larger than my gains… not exactly a winning formula! So, today I used tighter stops again and just got really aggressive about locking in gains. I swear, every time I decide I want to try to ride winners longer, the markets kick my ass and turn me back into a scalper.

I made some adjustments to my two main paintbars (the trend following one and the mean-reversal one) last night, which seems to have made them much more effective. I am almost ready to publish them here if anyone wants to play with them. They are far from perfect, but they do let me know when lots of indicators are trending or rolling over. It’s good to help reinforce my decisions.

Watch this post's video on Youtube

Jul 30

This post was contributed by a guest author, and does not necessarily reflect the views of Richard or MovetheMarkets.com


Here’s a Pile ‘O Charts from my trades today. I took seven trades, 3 losers for -2.2R, two breakeven, and two winners for +4.6R, leaving me at +2.4R for the day. My prop account overall PnL is up about +1.5R from my starting balance. I’m happy with those results for now, especially on the last few days we’ve had! I need to be quicker to cut a loser–I still have some of that bias left over from all of my retail trades, trying to save that daytrade!

Here’s the charts. As always, Red is my stop, orange my entry, green lines are for targets, and blue lines mark exits. On my trade in Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL), I partialed out successfully, taking some profits and letting the rest run, giving the one big win of 3.53R.

CAL Short (My good trade for the day)
cal-candle-last-2-days_15m-2007-07-30-111424.GIF

AAPL Short (Quick -1R that afterward turned and went way beyond my target! DOH!)
aapl-candle-last-day_5m-2007-07-30-111511.GIF

CFC Short
cfc-candle-last-day_5m-2007-07-30-111529.GIF

BIDU Short
bidu-candle-last-day_5m-2007-07-30-111443.GIF

ISRG Long
isrg-candle-last-day_5m-2007-07-30-141740.GIF

RIMM Long
rimm-candle-last-day_5m-2007-07-30-143023.GIF

CROX Long
crox-candle-last-day_5m-2007-07-30-141555.GIF

Stocks Mentioned In This Article
StockLinks
CAL | |

This post was contributed by a guest author, and does not necessarily reflect the views of Richard or MovetheMarkets.com


Jan 3

The stocks I was watching acted kind of disappointing today. They kinda ran up and did nothing. Here are two examples…. C. H. Robinson Worldwide Inc (Nasdaq: CHRW):

chrw stalled

… and T. Row Price (Nasdaq: TROW):

trow stalled

I was very close to biting on Pacific Sunwear (Nasdaq: PSUN) on the break of 21, but I waited long enough to see that it went to 21.01 and turned around. I should have shorted it…

PSUN broke

My One Trade
Even seeing that new highs weren’t on the menu for my stocks, Crocs Inc (Nasdaq: CROX) painted a pretty picture just under 45. I thought it had good chances of popping through, after the enthusiastic vertical move it had made an hour before. So, I scalped the move: in at 45.00, out at 45.15. The 10-minute chart below makes me look like a genius, since it promptly fell down a few seconds later. Again, I ask myself why I didn’t short it…

crox 10 min chart

… but I’m happy to take a 0.5R gain on the first trading day of the year. Always nice to start in the green!

Victory for the News Traders
Just now, the FOMC minutes came out, and the markets made a dramatic move. I had stopped trading for the day, and didn’t even see the initial drop since I was writing this post. I don’t know what they said, but Mr. Market sure didn’t seem to like it! This must be a good day for news-based traders! (I hope everyone with long positions had good stops in place!)

Stocks Mentioned In This Article
StockLinks
CHRW | |
TROW | |
PSUN | |
CROX | |
Nov 7

Two Trades on Crocs, Inc. (Nasdaq: CROX) today. He enjoyed it about as much as he likes their shoes. Which is to say, not much… break-even.

The Chart:
Tuesday Trade on CROX

I didn’t think today’s open made for very many good setups, so I bet a lot of people had difficulty today.

Stocks Mentioned In This Article
StockLinks
CROX | |