Jun 10

I know it’s my day off, but I couldn’t resist trying out this trade:

Entry is at the vertical line. I was playing with my charts, and sped up Shelly’s Volume VR4 (the red/green oscillator on top of price) a bit by applying less smoothing than the standard amount. It turns a little quicker now, which I like. I also applied my divergence and hidden divergence indicators to a REALLY unsmoothed version of SV VR4. That version was too ugly to look at, but my platform doesn’t mind checking it for divergences. The two divergence indicators are in the bottom subgraph.

So, at the time of my trade, I had price acting very well, making a base right on top of Alla’s Avg. The SV4 on my chart exhibited bullish hidden divergence (it dipped really low as price meandered upward, recharging for a strong push up). The two divergence indicators also both showed bullish divergence against the super-fast SV VR4. So, I got in when bonnie’s bars turned green. There was no Patty B signal, but I thought lots of evidence was in my favor. :-)

Ok, now my day off starts…

Jun 9

I’ve changed my charts slightly, to include a version of Shelly’s Volume VR4 on my chart. I’ve removed the rolling pivot. And, I took two subgraphs out of my chart. So, it’s much cleaner, I think.

Check out the short and long trade signals at the end of the day… a small win followed by a bigger win. Cool!

Will I ever make videos again??? perhaps. I’m still angry that I’ll have to find a new way to do the recordings to make youtube happy. So, I’m taking a break from that. I’ll be buying a new laptop soon, so that will probably trigger a new try at it.

Jun 6

Here’s the one and only signal I’ll be seeing today. Taking the rest of the day off:

There was a pretty scary pullback, initially! Luckily, bonnie’s bar color never turned green, which would have prompted an early exit. As always, the vertical line is the entry point, and the ellipses mark places where the math lines indicate profits should be taken. Easy as pie.

The chart wouldn’t look interesting, but I also wanted to mention I took a silly 1-tick scalp trade against the trend. I just had a feeling about it… but it didn’t pan out, and I exited for 1 tick of profit. Hey, better than 1 tick loss! :-)

Finally, here’s the latest Barb’s Reversal example. It’s on the chart I seem to like it best, a 10946 share bar chart of ES. Something in the 10k contract range really lets them shine, but there are also not that many signals.

May 30

Even though volume and the range were abysmal, I used my latest scalping method to make 7 trades this morning, for 6 wins and 1 loss.

I don’t remember if this is one of the ones I made or not (the bars go by really quickly on a 233 share bar chart!), but this is a good example of the setup. We tap the rolling vwap, then come down with red bonnie’s bars and red market sync. Then I take profits at the math line, skipping the line I’m right on top of on entry.

Yeah, it’s kinda fun to scalp… but also much more strenuous than what I’ve been doing… and the money you make is not proportional to the extra effort needed. I hope I don’t feel inclined to do this all summer! But, you gotta adapt, and if the market wants to chop, you gotta either have a method that works, or step aside.

Anyway, I’m done for the week. Have a good weekend, and I’ll see you next week.

May 29

I’ve been playing with a simple scalping method, based on the eotpro elite series indicators (which I authored, and so I obviously think they are the bee’s knees).

What I like about this chart, is that it’s all price action. No subgraphs. It is deceptively simple-looking, though… I would never take every trade that sets up this way. I use my other charts to decide when good scalping times are. Still, as an easy in-and-out method, I like it. In this morning’s trendless, oscillating market, I was able to find some little trades to make this way.

Basically, the entry is always just after price comes down and tags the rolling VWAP (that blue line). Then, for longs, entry when the paintbars (bonnie’s bars) turn green. Then exit at the math lines, and bail on any remaining contracts if bonnie’s bars turn against the trade.

Very easy to follow, but like I said, you still have to know when the right times to believe in this kind of setup are. That takes a bit more finesse and experience.

May 28

Here’s the one that got away….

Every day, there will be trades that don’t quite meet your criteria, that would make you a ton of money. You can’t dwell on that, or you will end up forming bad habits that drain your account. This was the only signal I had this morning, and as you can see, price was not really trending against Alla’s Average. So, I skipped it. It was the right thing to do.

Before I quit for the day, I made two small scalps on my faster chart. None of my main signals looked good enough to me today. Summer markets… getting slower and slower…

May 23

I still haven’t been able to make a video that youtube won’t mangle… so today we’ll go with a screenshot.

Three signals, two viable. This leads to two trades for two nice wins. A nice way to end the week! The entry points are at the vertical lines, and the profit taking areas are at the ellipses.

Why isn’t the middle one viable? As you know, my only criteria once I get a signal dot is “are we trending against Alla’s Average?” (the yellow line over price action). In that middle signal, you can see we were nowhere near Alla’s Average. I tell people that in a trend, we will pull away from Alla’s Average, then chop back towards it, then pull away again. That’s exactly what happened, and as you can see, it’s very stress-free to grab the two big pushes down if you are patient enough to wait for them.

Even if your judgment faltered, and you took the middle signal, note that bonnie’s bar color (in the first subgraph) turned green almost right away, which would be your signal to bail on the short trade with a tiny loss. Yeah, my charts are like a well-oiled machine! :-)

Have a good long weekend, everyone… I’ll see you Wednesday (even on long weekend weeks, I take Tuesdays off!).

May 21

Today was ok but not great. 3 trades for 2 wins and one loss. But, the second win was only 2 ticks, and only because an experimental eotpro.com indicator scared me out just in the nick of time.

My last few videos have been mangled by youtube. They must have “upgraded” their transcoding process. I hope this one plays correctly… I used a different codec this time. If it doesn’t work, then I apologize and I’ll try yet another codec tomorrow!

I quit around noon central time, ahead of the FOMC minutes chop and eventual madness. Good luck, if you continue to trade in it!

Watch this post's video on Youtube

May 20

I took the day off, as usual… but I glanced at my charts and they looked pretty good today, so I made a quick video about it.

I got a note in the mail from TD Ameritrade. Like most traders, I have left a trail of brokerage accounts in my wake. Anyway, this was snail mail, not e-mail. And, the mail says: “We are unable to reach you by mail.” I’m not kidding. So, they can’t reach me by mail, and apparently they decided to send me mail about it. But… the only way I would get the mail is if they are wrong. And, the only reason to send the mail is for me to get it. But, if they think they are wrong, why would they bother saying so? It was a truly zen USPS moment.

[edit: I see now that youtube has screwed up this video... this time by running the video part way faster than the audio part, and cutting the video off.... This is extremely frustrating. I will try using a different codec tomorrow, and see if that helps. I have been making videos for many months now, and am just now starting to have these problems. How strange.]

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May 19

I had to wait a long time, but eventually a signal got through all my filters, for nice profit!

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May 16

Finally, a decent day for my style! 3 signals leading to 2 trades, both of which were decent wins.

Still, the movement was slow enough that you needed patience to sit through it. That’s just part of how the game is played, lately. Adapt or die.

I have been getting a ton of stock trading questions lately, and am going to try to write a post covering the types of answers I’ve been giving to people individually. Stuff like which stocks to trade, and things like that. Not sure what’s causing the sudden stock interest out there. Strange…

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May 15

Not much going on. I tried to capture a live trade for you guys and gals, but it just wasn’t meant to be, today.

AND, now I see youtube has seen fit to truncate the movie I made. I’m uploading it again, and if the second one is full-length, I’ll replace the one above.

edit: nope, youtube just can’t handle my level of manliness today, and refuses to show more than the first 2:24 of my video. Enjoy!

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May 14

Uneventful trading day for me. Small, small profits. Yawn.

That’s what playing it safe is all about, though, sometimes. You gotta be able to stick to the sidelines when your criteria hasn’t been met. If you can’t, you will eventually bleed your account dry.

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May 13
Hi

Sorry it’s been a couple days since I’ve written a post. I went to visit my parents around Mother’s Day, and took Monday and Tuesday off. What can I say? I’m lazy! I should be trading tomorrow.

Looks to me like the action today really sucked, at least for my trading style. I would have taken a small loss, and then had a smaller gain, if I had traded today. So I guess it’s lucky that I didn’t!

Anyway, here’s an ad I posted on the tradestation forums today, for the eotpro elite series of functions I’m offering to the public. I point out the way we use Bonnie’s Bar colors to bail on failing trades early. In this example, I show a 1-tick loss followed by a much larger gain. Better than my actual trading chart did, today!

May 9

Low volume, choppy day again. But with a conservative methodology like mine, you can still find a couple good entry points. Just takes patience and will-power! :-) See you next week.

Today there was a rare, obvious ascending triangle play on ES. I don’t ever see those, it seems like! More often on ES are things like cup+handle, and Head&Shoulders. So that was kinda neat.

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